- Marine Fisheries Economics research and extension provide households, businesses, organizations, communities, and government agencies with basic and advanced tools and information involving relevant marine fisheries economic issues in coastal areas, the entire state, the Gulf of Mexico region, and beyond.
- Dr. Posadas's fisheries economics publications and presentations are listed at http://coastal.msstate.edu/publications-marine-fisheries-economics and http://coastal.msstate.edu/fish-presentations.
- YouTube link to Fisheries Economics virtual presentations - https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLB0D9oT09EZIg8fXXTWpU9iNFpWqfXJMt.
ECONOMIC IMPACTS OF DISASTER AND ECONOMIC EVENTS ON COMMERCIAL FISHING: 2020-PRESENT
- Dr. Posadas is developing three approaches to measuring the joint and individual impacts of man-made and natural disasters, global pandemics and recessions, the U.S.-China trade war, and recent increases in fuel prices on commercial landings and dockside values.
- Recent disasters included major hurricanes, the Bonnet Carre Spillway (BCS) openings in 2011 and 2019, and harmful algal blooms. The COVID-19 pandemic was declared a national emergency in the U.S. on Mar.13, 2020.
- The U.S. economy was in recession from Feb. to June 2020. The U.S.-China trade war started in July 2018 when the US imposed tariffs on $34 billion of Chinese goods. China reciprocated by imposing equivalent tariffs on U.S. exports. Fuel prices rose to more than $4 per gallon in early 2022.
- The first two approaches develop and estimate SEAFOOD LANDING ASSESSMENT MODELS (SLAM). The SLAM models assume that time, BCS openings, hurricanes, COVID-19, recession, the US trade war with China, unemployment rate, and fuel prices significantly influence landings.
- The first SLAM model estimates total losses from actual and predicted values. The second SLAM model estimates total losses from predicted and no-disaster values. The third economic model is the Mean-Difference model, which estimates total losses from current and previous years’ benchmark values.
- These models are also used to predict future values of commercial landings by major marine species.
- Informational video presentations are posted on the Marine Fisheries Economics Outreach YouTube Channel.
SOCIOECONOMIC PROFILES OF MISSISSIPPI COMMERCIAL SHRIMPERS - 2022-PRESENT:
- The state fisheries agency recently asked Dr. Posadas to assist in their current programming efforts. During a recent meeting with the Mississippi Department of Marine Resources (MS-DMR), the need to develop socio-economic profiles of Mississippi commercial shrimpers was discussed.
- These tools are crucial in determining the most desirable options to assist fishermen facing falling dockside prices and rising fuel prices and allocating federal disaster assistance.
- It was further discussed that the updated estimates of the economic contributions of the Mississippi seafood industry by major species are crucial information in managing the state marine fisheries sector.
- Previous works by Dr. Posadas on Mississippi marine fisheries are posted on the MSU-CREC website and are readily available for MS-DMR leadership and staff. http://www.coastal.msstate.edu/publications-mississippi-department-marine-resources.
ECONOMIC CONTRIBUTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI SEAFOOD INDUSTRY – 1990-2023: http://coastal.msstate.edu/economic-impact-seafood
- Dr. Posadas provided an estimate of the annual economic contribution of the state seafood industry by major species: shrimp, oysters, crabs, and fish.
- Mississippi marine regulatory agencies needed updated estimates of the economic contributions of the seafood industry to manage state marine resources effectively.
- State regulatory agencies expressed a more vital need for additional information on the economic contributions of the seafood industry by sector and species landed, processed, distributed, and consumed in Mississippi.
- At a recent Producer Advisory Council Meeting, the American Shrimp Processors Association requested updated estimates for the seafood industry by species.